Remnant Low Andrea Radar Image 2007Remnant area of low pressure that once was Subtropical Storm Andrea, continues to slowly drift just off the central Florida east coast near the cape. Radar loops from this morning show a double circulations with very light shower precipitation rotating around the two circulations. Some stronger convection was bursting on the southeast quad of the remnant low, and will likely help keep the low holding on a tad longer. Shear over the system has really increased over the last 48 hours, hence the rapid weakening.

As for today, there is only a slight chance of a isolated storm developing on a local sea breeze boundary. Moisture is still lacking today, and there is a decent subsidence inversion layer in place, so that should put a cap on most area’s here in Central and South Florida. Heavy smoke from the wildfires in southwest Florida and northern Florida and Georgia, are making much of the state hazy, which makes for bad storm chasing and observation. Tomorrow what’s left of Andrea will shift eastward out to sea as a upper-level low moves into the area from the Gulf of Mexico. Cold pool aloft will aid in strong to severe thunderstorms on Saturday over south-central Florida, so I plan to spend more time on the road Saturday. From the SPC Day Two:

ANOTHER POSSIBLE AREA FOR STRONG STORMS WILL BE IN ASSOCIATION WITH FL SEA BREEZE. PENINSULA SHOULD HEAT NICELY DURING THE DAY AS COLDEST MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES SAG INTO THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. WLY COMPONENT WOULD FAVOR EAST COAST CONVERGENCE ZONE…THOUGH STORM MOTIONS WOULD LIKELY PROPAGATE SEWD. HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY BE NOTED WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS ACROSS THE GULF STATES…INCLUDING FL. ..DARROW.. 05/11/2007

I expect with lightning storms over the weekend, more wildfires to break out like last weekend storms produced. One good thing for at least those on the Florida east coast, the winds starting next week will return to easterlies, so the thick smoke over the last 4-5 days, should blow out into the Gulf of Mexico.

So, Andrea was a reminder that the Atlantic Hurricane Season is just weeks away and that we will turn out focus to the warm Atlantic waters soon. Andrea didn’t help Florida in the rain department, but sure did produce one heck of a surf session for east coast surfers.

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