Tropics Trying To Heat Up, But Remains Slow
Posted by Jeff Gammons on 30 Aug 2007 at 8:01 am
Tagged as: Tropical Weather
Close To Home Development?
The non-tropical area of low pressure I was watching yesterday east of the Southeast U.S. has not become better organized as of yet. The system is further south today, but remains in a sheared environment that is forecast to improve in the coming days. The National Hurricane Center will be sending a recon invest flight out to the system today to see if anything has developed tropically or sub-tropical. The convection with this system remains elongated and looks to be fighting with dry air from the north. Computer models paint a forecast track if it was to develop back out to sea and away from the U.S. coast.
A weaker system could continue south and then more west if a ridge was to build in to the north, and that all depends on how far south this system will move first. Defiantly worth watching over the next 48 hours to see if this possible home grown system can organize more into a tropical cyclone.
Central Tropical Atlantic
The tropical waves out east of the Leeward Islands also remain disorganized this morning as they continue to track westward. These waves might have a better environment to develop more over the weekend, especially once near the Caribbean Sea. I still can’t belive how slow it is tropical weather-wise as we close out August and move into the peak hurricane month of September. It will be interesting to see how the month of September does for hurricanes.

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