Tropical Depression Ingrid No More

FOrecast Model Tracks

The Wind Shear Wins Over Ingrid

The strong westerly wind shear has finally taken it’s toll on the once weak Tropical Storm. Ingrid is dissipating into a remnant low pressure system just northeast of the Leeward Islands early this morning. The very strong wind shear for this time of year over the Caribbean and Central Atlantic has torn Ingrid apart leaving very little of the low-level circulation and deep convection. The National Hurricane Center has issued their last advisory on Ingrid, and so this is also the end of her coverage on StormVideographer.

Area’s of Interest In The Tropics

Currently watching a tropical wave interacting with a upper-level low over the Caribbean Sea this morning that is forecast to move northwestward into the western Caribbean in a few days. This area could develop into a tropical system as winds become less hostile. Forecast computer models have been hinting at development in this area and moving it northward into the Southern Gulf of Mexico. Not 100% sure if this would be fully tropical or a subtropical system. Will be interesting to watch that’s for sure, and will update on this more if things begin to organize.

The other area of tropical interest is about 1000 miles of the Lesser Antilles, where a disorganized large tropical wave is moving westward. Convection associated with this wave has weakened some since this time yesterday, but still has some moderate new convection bursts. The models too try to develop something out of this, but upper-level winds are not favorable at this time for development. This system has a chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in a few days once winds relax in the mid and upper levels.

A Slow Peak Season - Fall On The Horizon

Well, the tropical Atlantic remains pretty slow for being the peak few weeks of the season here in mid September. Maybe there will be a spike in tropical activity towards the end of the month and into early October, or will Fall come rushing in shutting the tropics down. Look at the weak cold front that’s draped across central Florida this morning. It made it pretty deep into Florida, and a northeast wind surge is setting up from Orlando northward later today. So, will continue to monitor the area’s of possible interest over the next few days and will keep you posted. Still looking for that hurricane intercept!

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