Hurricane IVO Track Models & Satellite, Baja Threat

Hurricane IVO Computer Track Models & Satellite

Hurricane IVO Track Models and IR Satellite

Hurricane IVO Possible Threat To Southern Baja California

Watching Invest 93L in the Gulf of Mexico struggle to develop tonight, so I have taken a break and looked west into the eastern Pacific where Hurricane IVO is slowly moving north-northwestward at 7mph, and packing winds of 80mph with higher gusts. Hurricane IVO is not the best organized category one hurricane as seen on this satellite picture, but it sure is doing much better than our wannabe Subtropical Storm in the Gulf of Mexico wanting to be named Jerry. IVO has a small window of opportunity to strengthen a little more before more hostile conditions become active around IVO. The weak hurricane will begin to encounter more drier air and some wind shear that will likely begin a weakening trend in about a day or so.

Cabo San Lucas To Conquista & Lapaz Need To Monitor

Locations located in southern Baja California from Cab San Lucas, northward up the western coast through the Sierra De La Laguna National Park , to Conquista and eastward to Lapaz need to closely monitor the progress Hurricane IVO as computer models all are in some what agreement on a Baja threat. Although the hurricane is forecast to weaken significantly before reaching the Baja peninsula, there is still some chance it could hold together longer than expected and bring weak hurricane force gusts or strong tropical storm force winds by the beginning of the new week. Late Sunday night through late Tuesday looks to be the most unsettled weather associated with Hurricane IVO. Nothing too impressive happening with IVO at this time and if things change I’ll post a update for those monitoring the eastern Pacific hurricane this weekend.

Back In The Gulf of Mexico - Invest 93L

The hybrid system remains disorganized tonight with a large broad circulation. Some impressive thunderstorms with some rotation has been seen on radar this evening over parts of western Florida as convection wraps around the eastern side of the circulation. The system continues to struggle with dry air and shear with a upper-level low in close to the slowly developing cyclone. We’ll have to see how things organize overnight, if at all and check things out again in the morning. Those living along the northern Gulf coast from western Louisiana eastward to Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle, need to monitor this system for development into a Subtropical Depression, Storm, or fully become a tropical storm. Will take another look in the morning.

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