Update: 4:52pm ET - Lorenzo Now Expect To Become A Hurricane

Tropical Storm Lorenzo continues to organize and deepen over the Southwest Gulf. Lorenzo’s winds are now up 70mph and is expected to reach hurricane strength later tonight. Hurricane warnings are now posted for the Mexican coast. The latest pressure from recon was down to 999mb. Like I said in this post earlier today, this could possibly reach hurricane status if the organizing continued. Looks like that’s the case.

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Born In Southwest Gulf of Mexico

Tropical Storm Lorenzo satelite picture and track 2007

Tropical Storm Lorenzo Heading For Mexican Coastline

Earlier this afternoon Tropical Depression 13 located in the southwest Gulf of Mexico has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Lorenzo. The 60mph tropical storm is about 130 miles east-southeast of Tuxpan Mexico and about 100 southeast of Cabo Rojo Mexico. Lorenzo is moving, or more like drifting slowly to the west-southwest near 3mph. Lorenzo still is forecast to remain below hurricane strength, but things can always change in the warm Gulf. Shear has relaxed some over Lorenzo, and has allowed further organization of the storm during the day. There is always a possibility that Lorenzo could become a minimum hurricane just prior to landfall in Mexico if the shear relaxes some more. These Gulf storms can be sneaky…. Like recent Hurricane Humberto in Southeast Texas.

Lorenzo Threat For Torrential Rain Flooding

At the most as of now, TS Lorenzo looks to be mainly a heavy rain and flood event for southeastern Mexico. Slow moving Tropical Storms can dump 10-15 inches of rain, which can cause dangerous and deadly flash flooding and mud slides in more mountainous locations. Area’s in the Mexican state of Veracruz look to receive the most rainfall totals over the next 48 hours. Continuing to monitor the system for any continued signs of strengthening.

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